San Diego County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very High

Composite Risk Score

99.7

National percentile: 100th

San Diego County faces very high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.7, 100th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $1.54B.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $1.54B Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 3.3M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Very High $430M/yr
Earthquake
High $426M/yr
Riverine Flood
Very High $648M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Very High 0.03 / yr $430M
Earthquake High 0.11 / yr $426M
Riverine Flood Very High 7.89 / yr $648M
Landslide High 177.45 / yr $3M
Heat Wave High 10.25 / yr $24M
Lightning Medium 11.11 / yr $829K
Hail Medium 0.10 / yr $825K
Coastal Flood Medium 1.65 / yr $1M
Tornado Low 0.31 / yr $2M
Drought Low 54.09 / yr $299K
Tsunami Low 0.39 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Medium 0.19 / yr $642K
Winter Weather Low 3.67 / yr $67K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $3
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $137
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $521
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for San Diego County?

San Diego County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very High category and the 100th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in San Diego County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Very High, $430M EAL), Earthquake (High, $426M EAL), Riverine Flood (Very High, $648M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does San Diego County compare to other California counties?

San Diego County ranks #6 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. San Diego County's $1.54B EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.