Santa Clara County

California — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very High

Composite Risk Score

99.7

National percentile: 100th

Santa Clara County faces very high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.7, 100th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $1.97B.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $1.97B Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 1.93M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Very High $1.19B/yr
Riverine Flood
Very High $720M/yr
Landslide
High $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Very High 0.18 / yr $1.19B
Riverine Flood Very High 2.07 / yr $720M
Landslide High 64.63 / yr $5M
Drought High 63.64 / yr $11M
Heat Wave High 7.98 / yr $23M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $10M
Coastal Flood High 0.98 / yr $7M
Tornado Low 0.11 / yr $2M
Lightning Low 3.84 / yr $254K
Hail Low 0.04 / yr $197K
Tsunami Very Low 0.34 / yr $142K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $17
Strong Wind Very Low 0.03 / yr $81K
Winter Weather Very Low 1.11 / yr $2K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Santa Clara County?

Santa Clara County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very High category and the 100th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Santa Clara County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Very High, $1.19B EAL), Riverine Flood (Very High, $720M EAL), Landslide (High, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Santa Clara County compare to other California counties?

Santa Clara County ranks #7 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Santa Clara County's $1.97B EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.