Boulder County

Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

90.7

National percentile: 91th

Boulder County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 90.7, 91th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $125M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $125M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 331K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
Very High $6M/yr
Hail
High $10M/yr
Wildfire
High $16M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Very High 54.13 / yr $6M
Hail High 5.48 / yr $10M
Wildfire High 0.01 / yr $16M
Winter Weather High 21.40 / yr $1M
Tornado High 0.52 / yr $12M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.75 / yr $69M
Landslide Medium 0.27 / yr $78K
Avalanche High 0.63 / yr $2M
Strong Wind High 1.00 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.01 / yr $354K
Cold Wave Medium 0.59 / yr $3M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $79
Heat Wave Low 0.31 / yr $815K
Drought Low 11.23 / yr $79K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Boulder County?

Boulder County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 90.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 91th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Boulder County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Very High, $6M EAL), Hail (High, $10M EAL), Wildfire (High, $16M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Boulder County compare to other Colorado counties?

Boulder County ranks #6 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Boulder County's $125M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.