Weld County
Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 89th
Weld County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 89.2, 89th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $105M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hail | High | 6.70 / yr | $14M |
| Cold Wave | High | 1.84 / yr | $19M |
| Tornado | High | 4.20 / yr | $16M |
| Strong Wind | High | 1.40 / yr | $4M |
| Winter Weather | High | 10.29 / yr | $762K |
| Lightning | High | 51.16 / yr | $2M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.89 / yr | $44M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $1M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.03 / yr | $482K |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $2M |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $53 |
| Heat Wave | Low | 0.62 / yr | $775K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.54 / yr | $960 |
| Drought | Low | 38.53 / yr | $75K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Weld County?
Weld County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 89.2 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 89th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Weld County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (High, $14M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $19M EAL), Tornado (High, $16M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Weld County compare to other Colorado counties?
Weld County ranks #8 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Weld County's $105M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.