Bureau County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

62.3

National percentile: 62th

Bureau County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 62.3, 62th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $22M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $22M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 33K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $2M/yr
Tornado
Medium $4M/yr
Hail
Medium $885K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 9.00 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 0.84 / yr $4M
Hail Medium 3.86 / yr $885K
Strong Wind Medium 5.86 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 5.11 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 0.19 / yr $4K
Riverine Flood Low 0.86 / yr $10M
Ice Storm Medium 0.63 / yr $139K
Heat Wave Low 6.53 / yr $339K
Winter Weather Low 14.79 / yr $51K
Lightning Low 43.13 / yr $139K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $9K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bureau County?

Bureau County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 62.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 62th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bureau County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $4M EAL), Hail (Medium, $885K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bureau County compare to other Illinois counties?

Bureau County ranks #42 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bureau County's $22M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.