Madison County

Illinois — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

93.4

National percentile: 93th

Madison County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 93.4, 93th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $155M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $155M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 266K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
High $17M/yr
Tornado
High $23M/yr
Hail
High $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave High 14.74 / yr $17M
Tornado High 0.68 / yr $23M
Hail High 5.03 / yr $5M
Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $35M
Cold Wave High 1.79 / yr $15M
Lightning High 49.90 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.39 / yr $56M
Winter Weather High 8.89 / yr $481K
Landslide Low 0.57 / yr $36K
Ice Storm Medium 1.18 / yr $327K
Drought Low 1.66 / yr $383K
Strong Wind Medium 6.23 / yr $836K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $20K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Madison County?

Madison County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 93.4 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 93th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Madison County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (High, $17M EAL), Tornado (High, $23M EAL), Hail (High, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Madison County compare to other Illinois counties?

Madison County ranks #7 of 102 Illinois counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Madison County's $155M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.