Jefferson County

Iowa — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

27.1

National percentile: 27th

Jefferson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 27.1, 27th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $900K/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $1M/yr
Hail
Medium $592K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 13.63 / yr $900K
Heat Wave Medium 8.89 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 4.00 / yr $592K
Lightning Medium 44.91 / yr $380K
Strong Wind Medium 5.18 / yr $613K
Landslide Very Low 0.14 / yr $2K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $52K
Tornado Low 0.32 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Low 12.16 / yr $40K
Ice Storm Low 0.36 / yr $43K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $114K
Cold Wave Low 5.32 / yr $261K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.68 / yr $2M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jefferson County?

Jefferson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 27.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 27th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jefferson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $900K EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $1M EAL), Hail (Medium, $592K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jefferson County compare to other Iowa counties?

Jefferson County ranks #73 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jefferson County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.