Nelson County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

55.2

National percentile: 55th

Nelson County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 55.2, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 47K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
High $2M/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $178K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 7.02 / yr $2M
Lightning High 52.38 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 9.63 / yr $178K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $875K
Tornado Medium 0.29 / yr $3M
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Low 2.50 / yr $11M
Ice Storm Medium 0.98 / yr $153K
Heat Wave Low 4.58 / yr $315K
Hail Low 3.40 / yr $195K
Landslide Very Low 0.56 / yr $644
Drought Low 1.57 / yr $34K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $11K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $11K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Nelson County?

Nelson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 55.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Nelson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $178K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Nelson County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Nelson County ranks #37 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Nelson County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.