Wayne County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.7

National percentile: 55th

Wayne County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.7, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $5M/yr
Landslide
Low $12K/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $142K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 0.68 / yr $5M
Landslide Low 1.06 / yr $12K
Winter Weather Medium 11.58 / yr $142K
Hail Low 3.04 / yr $328K
Lightning Medium 55.34 / yr $218K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $264K
Strong Wind Medium 5.50 / yr $389K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $59K
Riverine Flood Low 0.93 / yr $4M
Tornado Low 0.23 / yr $638K
Heat Wave Low 2.95 / yr $159K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $15K
Ice Storm Low 0.39 / yr $26K
Drought Very Low 7.59 / yr $18K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $5M EAL), Landslide (Low, $12K EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $142K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Wayne County ranks #38 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.