Baltimore County

Maryland — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

94.0

National percentile: 94th

Baltimore County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 94.0, 94th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $157M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $157M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 854K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Very High $3M/yr
Heat Wave
High $43M/yr
Lightning
Very High $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 12.50 / yr $3M
Heat Wave High 5.39 / yr $43M
Lightning Very High 38.07 / yr $3M
Strong Wind High 7.99 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood High 5.64 / yr $67M
Hurricane Medium 0.10 / yr $14M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $8M
Cold Wave High 1.57 / yr $7M
Hail Medium 3.49 / yr $1M
Drought Medium 5.96 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.50 / yr $4M
Landslide Low 0.39 / yr $9K
Coastal Flood Medium 3.69 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 1.03 / yr $223K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $27K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $8
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Baltimore County?

Baltimore County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 94.0 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 94th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Baltimore County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $3M EAL), Heat Wave (High, $43M EAL), Lightning (Very High, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Baltimore County compare to other Maryland counties?

Baltimore County ranks #2 of 24 Maryland counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Baltimore County's $157M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.