Cecil County

Maryland — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

58.6

National percentile: 59th

Cecil County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 58.6, 59th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $23M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $23M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 104K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $2M/yr
Winter Weather
High $375K/yr
Strong Wind
High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 7.09 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 10.74 / yr $375K
Strong Wind High 7.32 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 5.51 / yr $2M
Hurricane Low 0.07 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $953K
Ice Storm Medium 1.19 / yr $209K
Lightning Medium 35.31 / yr $396K
Riverine Flood Low 2.50 / yr $11M
Landslide Very Low 0.15 / yr $3K
Coastal Flood Low 3.66 / yr $391K
Cold Wave Low 0.84 / yr $1M
Tornado Low 0.27 / yr $1M
Hail Very Low 2.79 / yr $150K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $12K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cecil County?

Cecil County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 58.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 59th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cecil County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $375K EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cecil County compare to other Maryland counties?

Cecil County ranks #14 of 24 Maryland counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cecil County's $23M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.