Arenac County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

20.3

National percentile: 20th

Arenac County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 20.3, 20th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Medium $101K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $929K/yr
Lightning
Low $213K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Medium 11.95 / yr $101K
Cold Wave Low 2.16 / yr $929K
Lightning Low 28.45 / yr $213K
Strong Wind Low 2.11 / yr $419K
Hail Low 1.64 / yr $159K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $12K
Riverine Flood Low 0.46 / yr $4M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $16K
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr $460K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $11K
Landslide Very Low 0.05 / yr $239
Ice Storm Very Low 0.39 / yr $21K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $19K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.00 / yr $25K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Arenac County?

Arenac County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 20.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 20th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Arenac County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $101K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $929K EAL), Lightning (Low, $213K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Arenac County compare to other Michigan counties?

Arenac County ranks #70 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Arenac County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.