Otsego County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

18.4

National percentile: 18th

Otsego County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 18.4, 18th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Low $671K/yr
Landslide
Low $4K/yr
Lightning
Medium $437K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Low 0.98 / yr $671K
Landslide Low 0.15 / yr $4K
Lightning Medium 24.65 / yr $437K
Cold Wave Low 1.74 / yr $2M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $38K
Strong Wind Low 0.87 / yr $494K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.04 / yr $4M
Tornado Low 0.08 / yr $492K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.74 / yr $54K
Winter Weather Very Low 32.58 / yr $12K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $11K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.07 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Otsego County?

Otsego County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 18.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 18th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Otsego County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Low, $671K EAL), Landslide (Low, $4K EAL), Lightning (Medium, $437K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Otsego County compare to other Michigan counties?

Otsego County ranks #71 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Otsego County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.