Clay County
Minnesota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 74th
Clay County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 73.7, 74th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $42M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Winter Weather | High | 24.42 / yr | $1M |
| Cold Wave | Medium | 18.42 / yr | $7M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 1.64 / yr | $28M |
| Hail | Medium | 4.08 / yr | $1M |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 2.54 / yr | $2M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $165K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.69 / yr | $2M |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.19 / yr | $115K |
| Drought | Low | 2.41 / yr | $180K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.12 / yr | $2K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 1.47 / yr | $278K |
| Lightning | Low | 29.68 / yr | $142K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $20K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Clay County?
Clay County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 73.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 74th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Clay County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $7M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $28M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Clay County compare to other Minnesota counties?
Clay County ranks #14 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Clay County's $42M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.