Hennepin County
Minnesota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
HighComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 98th
Hennepin County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 98.3, 98th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $456M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | Very High | 8.95 / yr | $102M |
| Hail | Very High | 6.41 / yr | $31M |
| Tornado | Very High | 0.46 / yr | $83M |
| Heat Wave | High | 6.68 / yr | $39M |
| Strong Wind | Very High | 4.57 / yr | $9M |
| Riverine Flood | High | 1.54 / yr | $188M |
| Winter Weather | Very High | 16.58 / yr | $1M |
| Lightning | High | 35.98 / yr | $1M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.22 / yr | $27K |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.49 / yr | $475K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $309K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $325K |
| Drought | Low | 2.94 / yr | $84K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hennepin County?
Hennepin County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 98.3 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 98th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Hennepin County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Very High, $102M EAL), Hail (Very High, $31M EAL), Tornado (Very High, $83M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Hennepin County compare to other Minnesota counties?
Hennepin County ranks #1 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hennepin County's $456M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.