Washington County

Minnesota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

83.9

National percentile: 84th

Washington County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 83.9, 84th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $93M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $93M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 268K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
Very High $11M/yr
Hail
High $5M/yr
Tornado
High $20M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Very High 4.37 / yr $11M
Hail High 5.98 / yr $5M
Tornado High 0.28 / yr $20M
Lightning High 35.30 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 8.84 / yr $10M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.43 / yr $41M
Heat Wave Medium 6.05 / yr $3M
Winter Weather Medium 17.37 / yr $319K
Landslide Low 0.17 / yr $13K
Ice Storm Medium 0.39 / yr $310K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $202K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $24K
Drought Very Low 0.78 / yr $44
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Washington County?

Washington County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 83.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 84th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Washington County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Very High, $11M EAL), Hail (High, $5M EAL), Tornado (High, $20M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Washington County compare to other Minnesota counties?

Washington County ranks #7 of 87 Minnesota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Washington County's $93M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.