Newton County

Mississippi — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.4

National percentile: 52th

Newton County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.4, 52th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 21K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
Medium $3M/yr
Hurricane
Low $1M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado Medium 0.77 / yr $3M
Hurricane Low 0.12 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 0.95 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Medium 3.26 / yr $639K
Hail Low 4.00 / yr $300K
Heat Wave Low 10.63 / yr $458K
Drought Low 16.27 / yr $223K
Lightning Medium 71.85 / yr $211K
Landslide Very Low 0.40 / yr $1K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $254K
Ice Storm Low 1.00 / yr $75K
Winter Weather Low 2.42 / yr $32K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $15K
Riverine Flood Low 1.36 / yr $3M
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Newton County?

Newton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 52th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Newton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (Medium, $3M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Newton County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Newton County ranks #38 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Newton County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.