Warren County

Mississippi — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.3

National percentile: 86th

Warren County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.3, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $43M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $43M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 45K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Very High $15M/yr
Hail
High $4M/yr
Tornado
High $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Very High 14.46 / yr $15M
Hail High 3.96 / yr $4M
Tornado High 0.73 / yr $6M
Strong Wind High 3.47 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 18.84 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 0.53 / yr $21K
Ice Storm Medium 1.00 / yr $257K
Lightning Medium 68.66 / yr $458K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $763K
Hurricane Low 0.08 / yr $607K
Riverine Flood Low 1.82 / yr $10M
Cold Wave Medium 0.89 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $18K
Winter Weather Very Low 2.37 / yr $13K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Warren County?

Warren County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Warren County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Very High, $15M EAL), Hail (High, $4M EAL), Tornado (High, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Warren County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Warren County ranks #6 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Warren County's $43M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.