Buchanan County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

74.4

National percentile: 74th

Buchanan County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 74.4, 74th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $35M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $35M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 85K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $3M/yr
Tornado
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 8.61 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 12.26 / yr $3M
Tornado Medium 0.30 / yr $7M
Cold Wave Medium 3.53 / yr $6M
Strong Wind High 6.42 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 0.26 / yr $25K
Lightning Medium 48.38 / yr $702K
Winter Weather Medium 11.32 / yr $164K
Drought Medium 18.69 / yr $633K
Ice Storm Medium 0.78 / yr $262K
Riverine Flood Low 3.71 / yr $13M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $78K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $219K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Buchanan County?

Buchanan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 74.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 74th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Buchanan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Buchanan County compare to other Missouri counties?

Buchanan County ranks #25 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Buchanan County's $35M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.