Carter County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

53.9

National percentile: 54th

Carter County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 53.9, 54th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $11M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $11M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $1M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Landslide
Low $8K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.01 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 1.11 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 1.98 / yr $8K
Ice Storm Medium 1.20 / yr $149K
Heat Wave Low 11.26 / yr $439K
Strong Wind Medium 2.37 / yr $471K
Riverine Flood Low 1.89 / yr $6M
Lightning Medium 57.88 / yr $198K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $25K
Winter Weather Low 7.68 / yr $29K
Tornado Low 0.30 / yr $518K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $9K
Drought Very Low 4.06 / yr $960
Hail Very Low 3.38 / yr $19K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Carter County?

Carter County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 53.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 54th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Carter County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Carter County compare to other Missouri counties?

Carter County ranks #55 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Carter County's $11M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.