Johnson County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.9

National percentile: 55th

Johnson County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.9, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $24M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $24M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 54K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $418K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 2.21 / yr $5M
Heat Wave Medium 13.63 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.75 / yr $418K
Winter Weather Medium 10.53 / yr $191K
Hail Low 6.68 / yr $669K
Drought Low 11.08 / yr $429K
Landslide Very Low 0.20 / yr $4K
Riverine Flood Low 4.18 / yr $12M
Tornado Low 0.45 / yr $2M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $358K
Lightning Low 49.99 / yr $299K
Strong Wind Low 4.78 / yr $549K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $18K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $10K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Johnson County?

Johnson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Johnson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $418K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Johnson County compare to other Missouri counties?

Johnson County ranks #52 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Johnson County's $24M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.