Lafayette County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.5

National percentile: 53th

Lafayette County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.5, 53th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 33K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $7M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $1M/yr
Landslide
Low $8K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 2.26 / yr $7M
Heat Wave Low 12.95 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 0.19 / yr $8K
Ice Storm Medium 0.88 / yr $254K
Drought Medium 9.42 / yr $536K
Tornado Medium 0.34 / yr $3M
Hail Low 6.60 / yr $547K
Strong Wind Medium 4.87 / yr $748K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $265K
Winter Weather Low 10.37 / yr $62K
Riverine Flood Low 3.00 / yr $7M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $21K
Lightning Low 49.15 / yr $141K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lafayette County?

Lafayette County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 53th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lafayette County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $7M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lafayette County compare to other Missouri counties?

Lafayette County ranks #59 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lafayette County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.