McDonald County
Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 64th
McDonald County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 64.0, 64th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Ice Storm | High | 1.66 / yr | $701K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 6.33 / yr | $1M |
| Heat Wave | Low | 15.16 / yr | $1M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.86 / yr | $9K |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 3.93 / yr | $16M |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.49 / yr | $3M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $230K |
| Drought | Medium | 10.54 / yr | $532K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 2.00 / yr | $1M |
| Winter Weather | Low | 9.89 / yr | $58K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $150K |
| Hail | Low | 7.79 / yr | $166K |
| Lightning | Low | 56.81 / yr | $150K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $17K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for McDonald County?
McDonald County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 64.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 64th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in McDonald County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $701K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does McDonald County compare to other Missouri counties?
McDonald County ranks #38 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McDonald County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.