Vernon County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

46.0

National percentile: 46th

Vernon County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 46.0, 46th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Low $1M/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $264K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 12.98 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Low 16.05 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Medium 0.72 / yr $264K
Hail Low 6.70 / yr $391K
Cold Wave Low 2.26 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Low 10.84 / yr $78K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $302K
Tornado Low 0.53 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Low 2.89 / yr $6M
Strong Wind Low 5.09 / yr $523K
Landslide Very Low 0.15 / yr $930
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $15K
Lightning Low 54.57 / yr $107K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $10K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Vernon County?

Vernon County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 46.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 46th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Vernon County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $264K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Vernon County compare to other Missouri counties?

Vernon County ranks #66 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Vernon County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.