Hill County

Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

50.4

National percentile: 50th

Hill County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 50.4, 50th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $8M/yr
Winter Weather
High $309K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $83K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 11.55 / yr $8M
Winter Weather High 21.89 / yr $309K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $83K
Lightning Medium 21.68 / yr $284K
Drought Low 54.43 / yr $79K
Riverine Flood Low 0.21 / yr $4M
Landslide Very Low 0.45 / yr $478
Heat Wave Very Low 1.32 / yr $76K
Hail Very Low 0.47 / yr $71K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $24K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.55 / yr $78K
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr $39K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $2
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hill County?

Hill County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 50.4 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 50th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hill County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $8M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $309K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $83K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hill County compare to other Montana counties?

Hill County ranks #17 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hill County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.