Prairie County

Montana — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

4.2

National percentile: 4th

Prairie County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 4.2, 4th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $2M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 1K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Low $1M/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $67K/yr
Winter Weather
Low $17K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Low 11.95 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $67K
Winter Weather Low 17.68 / yr $17K
Drought Very Low 42.40 / yr $6K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.95 / yr $40K
Landslide Very Low 0.79 / yr $74
Hail Very Low 1.89 / yr $42K
Strong Wind Very Low 1.38 / yr $48K
Tornado Very Low 0.15 / yr $38K
Lightning Very Low 29.24 / yr $19K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.79 / yr $626K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $669
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Prairie County?

Prairie County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 4.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 4th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Prairie County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Low, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $67K EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $17K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Prairie County compare to other Montana counties?

Prairie County ranks #47 of 56 Montana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Prairie County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.