Catron County

New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

36.6

National percentile: 37th

Catron County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 36.6, 37th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 4K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $3M/yr
Landslide
Medium $59K/yr
Lightning
High $490K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $3M
Landslide Medium 2.84 / yr $59K
Lightning High 64.90 / yr $490K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $368
Riverine Flood Low 1.14 / yr $3M
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $3
Winter Weather Low 12.54 / yr $22K
Drought Very Low 105.90 / yr $6K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $21K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.05 / yr $103K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.39 / yr $7K
Hail Very Low 0.09 / yr $3K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $546
Tornado Very Low 0.06 / yr $774
Strong Wind Very Low 0.05 / yr $2K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Catron County?

Catron County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 36.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 37th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Catron County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $3M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $59K EAL), Lightning (High, $490K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Catron County compare to other New Mexico counties?

Catron County ranks #26 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Catron County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.