Doña Ana County

New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

96.1

National percentile: 96th

Doña Ana County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 96.1, 96th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $164M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $164M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 219K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $11M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $133M/yr
Winter Weather
Very High $828K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 73.79 / yr $11M
Riverine Flood High 2.54 / yr $133M
Winter Weather Very High 2.42 / yr $828K
Lightning Very High 52.09 / yr $2M
Hail High 0.41 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 4.44 / yr $4M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $5M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $643K
Cold Wave Medium 0.11 / yr $3M
Ice Storm Medium 0.04 / yr $127K
Strong Wind Medium 0.36 / yr $530K
Landslide Very Low 0.55 / yr $538
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $182
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $18K
Tornado Very Low 0.13 / yr $189K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Doña Ana County?

Doña Ana County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 96.1 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 96th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Doña Ana County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $11M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $133M EAL), Winter Weather (Very High, $828K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Doña Ana County compare to other New Mexico counties?

Doña Ana County ranks #1 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Doña Ana County's $164M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.