San Miguel County

New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

74.6

National percentile: 75th

San Miguel County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 74.6, 75th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $21M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $21M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 27K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $5M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $14M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $138K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.64 / yr $14M
Winter Weather Medium 15.24 / yr $138K
Landslide Low 1.84 / yr $6K
Lightning Medium 62.40 / yr $300K
Drought Low 114.95 / yr $89K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $159K
Hail Low 1.29 / yr $119K
Cold Wave Low 0.37 / yr $317K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $45
Strong Wind Low 0.29 / yr $127K
Tornado Very Low 0.44 / yr $87K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.37 / yr $9K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.11 / yr $1K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for San Miguel County?

San Miguel County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 74.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 75th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in San Miguel County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $5M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $14M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $138K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does San Miguel County compare to other New Mexico counties?

San Miguel County ranks #15 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. San Miguel County's $21M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.