Santa Fe County

New Mexico — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.0

National percentile: 86th

Santa Fe County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.0, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $49M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $49M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 155K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
High $13M/yr
Winter Weather
High $500K/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire High 0.00 / yr $13M
Winter Weather High 15.92 / yr $500K
Lightning High 68.06 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $4M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.61 / yr $27M
Drought Medium 102.85 / yr $1M
Hail Low 1.04 / yr $415K
Landslide Low 0.77 / yr $4K
Heat Wave Low 0.48 / yr $355K
Cold Wave Low 0.13 / yr $734K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $64
Strong Wind Low 0.28 / yr $203K
Tornado Very Low 0.15 / yr $288K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $12K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Santa Fe County?

Santa Fe County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.0 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Santa Fe County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (High, $13M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $500K EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Santa Fe County compare to other New Mexico counties?

Santa Fe County ranks #6 of 33 New Mexico counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Santa Fe County's $49M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.