Montgomery County

New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

65.2

National percentile: 65th

Montgomery County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 65.2, 65th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 49K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $65K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $16M/yr
Hurricane
Low $397K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.19 / yr $65K
Riverine Flood Medium 3.04 / yr $16M
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $397K
Winter Weather Medium 19.69 / yr $92K
Cold Wave Low 3.26 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Low 0.63 / yr $94K
Lightning Low 25.50 / yr $226K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $244K
Hail Low 2.44 / yr $182K
Tornado Low 0.09 / yr $743K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.00 / yr $154K
Strong Wind Low 1.24 / yr $269K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $83
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $10K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Montgomery County?

Montgomery County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 65.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 65th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Montgomery County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $65K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $16M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $397K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Montgomery County compare to other New York counties?

Montgomery County ranks #37 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Montgomery County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.