Alamance County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

77.1

National percentile: 77th

Alamance County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 77.1, 77th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $41M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $41M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 171K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $401K/yr
Ice Storm
High $627K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $27M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 7.89 / yr $401K
Ice Storm High 1.82 / yr $627K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.25 / yr $27M
Lightning High 46.88 / yr $911K
Tornado Medium 0.16 / yr $5M
Hurricane Medium 0.11 / yr $3M
Hail Medium 4.52 / yr $867K
Heat Wave Low 2.53 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 1.71 / yr $729K
Cold Wave Low 0.68 / yr $1M
Drought Low 15.66 / yr $151K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $17K
Landslide Very Low 0.20 / yr $336
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Alamance County?

Alamance County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 77.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 77th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Alamance County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $401K EAL), Ice Storm (High, $627K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $27M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Alamance County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Alamance County ranks #39 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Alamance County's $41M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.