Pender County

North Carolina — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.9

National percentile: 87th

Pender County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.9, 87th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $67M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $67M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 60K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
High $43M/yr
Winter Weather
High $359K/yr
Wildfire
Low $897K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane High 0.35 / yr $43M
Winter Weather High 2.23 / yr $359K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $897K
Lightning High 57.15 / yr $1M
Coastal Flood Medium 3.54 / yr $3M
Ice Storm Medium 0.87 / yr $284K
Tornado Medium 0.61 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Low 1.75 / yr $13M
Heat Wave Low 8.13 / yr $685K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $385K
Strong Wind Medium 1.64 / yr $625K
Cold Wave Low 0.47 / yr $688K
Drought Low 8.02 / yr $56K
Hail Very Low 2.89 / yr $120K
Landslide Very Low 0.12 / yr $244
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Pender County?

Pender County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 87th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Pender County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (High, $43M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $359K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $897K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Pender County compare to other North Carolina counties?

Pender County ranks #24 of 100 North Carolina counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Pender County's $67M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.