McHenry County

North Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

11.7

National percentile: 12th

McHenry County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 11.7, 12th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $547K/yr
Wildfire
Low $1M/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $442K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 21.26 / yr $547K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Medium 0.54 / yr $442K
Cold Wave Low 22.16 / yr $2M
Landslide Very Low 0.19 / yr $2K
Hail Low 2.02 / yr $322K
Tornado Low 0.60 / yr $606K
Drought Very Low 18.70 / yr $17K
Strong Wind Low 0.96 / yr $217K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $16K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Very Low 0.95 / yr $15K
Lightning Very Low 26.66 / yr $31K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for McHenry County?

McHenry County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 11.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 12th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in McHenry County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $547K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $1M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $442K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does McHenry County compare to other North Dakota counties?

McHenry County ranks #29 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McHenry County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.