McIntosh County
North Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 35th
McIntosh County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 35.2, 35th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | High | 16.21 / yr | $5M |
| Winter Weather | Medium | 21.47 / yr | $164K |
| Hail | Low | 3.18 / yr | $424K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $126K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.76 / yr | $85K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 2.11 / yr | $267K |
| Drought | Low | 11.08 / yr | $21K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.37 / yr | $263K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.14 / yr | $971K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 1.79 / yr | $13K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $4K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 31.23 / yr | $11K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.12 / yr | $3 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for McIntosh County?
McIntosh County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 35.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 35th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in McIntosh County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $5M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $164K EAL), Hail (Low, $424K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does McIntosh County compare to other North Dakota counties?
McIntosh County ranks #15 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. McIntosh County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.