Mercer County

North Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

13.9

National percentile: 14th

Mercer County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 13.9, 14th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 8K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
Medium $353K/yr
Hail
Medium $952K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Medium 18.42 / yr $353K
Hail Medium 2.51 / yr $952K
Cold Wave Medium 15.21 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.64 / yr $228K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $128K
Tornado Low 0.32 / yr $624K
Strong Wind Low 1.52 / yr $269K
Drought Very Low 23.28 / yr $7K
Landslide Very Low 0.30 / yr $159
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.43 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Very Low 1.58 / yr $43K
Lightning Very Low 29.70 / yr $50K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Mercer County?

Mercer County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 13.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 14th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Mercer County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $353K EAL), Hail (Medium, $952K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Mercer County compare to other North Dakota counties?

Mercer County ranks #25 of 53 North Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Mercer County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.