Butler County

Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

91.5

National percentile: 91th

Butler County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 91.5, 91th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $120M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $120M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 390K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $28M/yr
Cold Wave
High $16M/yr
Lightning
High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.33 / yr $28M
Cold Wave High 3.16 / yr $16M
Lightning High 48.91 / yr $2M
Strong Wind High 2.75 / yr $3M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.57 / yr $62M
Ice Storm High 1.09 / yr $1M
Winter Weather High 11.47 / yr $474K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $3M
Heat Wave Medium 6.21 / yr $2M
Hail Medium 3.61 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 0.19 / yr $12K
Drought Low 1.53 / yr $124K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $33K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $14K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Butler County?

Butler County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 91.5 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 91th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Butler County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $28M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $16M EAL), Lightning (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Butler County compare to other Ohio counties?

Butler County ranks #6 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Butler County's $120M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.