Lorain County

Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.3

National percentile: 86th

Lorain County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.3, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $66M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $66M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 313K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Strong Wind
High $3M/yr
Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Hail
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 1.97 / yr $3M
Ice Storm High 0.78 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 3.57 / yr $2M
Tornado High 0.34 / yr $8M
Winter Weather High 12.32 / yr $452K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.21 / yr $43M
Cold Wave Medium 4.11 / yr $6M
Lightning Medium 40.85 / yr $698K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Low 2.21 / yr $763K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $83K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $40K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $796
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.02 / yr $6K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lorain County?

Lorain County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.3 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lorain County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $3M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Hail (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lorain County compare to other Ohio counties?

Lorain County ranks #9 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lorain County's $66M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.