Tulsa County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

97.9

National percentile: 98th

Tulsa County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 97.9, 98th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $292M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $292M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 668K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $6M/yr
Heat Wave
High $76M/yr
Strong Wind
Very High $11M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.28 / yr $6M
Heat Wave High 26.26 / yr $76M
Strong Wind Very High 6.75 / yr $11M
Tornado Very High 0.68 / yr $37M
Hail High 8.99 / yr $7M
Riverine Flood High 4.75 / yr $138M
Cold Wave High 1.68 / yr $10M
Lightning High 54.13 / yr $1M
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $5M
Winter Weather High 9.16 / yr $353K
Drought Medium 20.66 / yr $576K
Landslide Low 0.13 / yr $5K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $47K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tulsa County?

Tulsa County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.9 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 98th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tulsa County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $6M EAL), Heat Wave (High, $76M EAL), Strong Wind (Very High, $11M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tulsa County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Tulsa County ranks #2 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tulsa County's $292M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.