Forest County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

19.9

National percentile: 20th

Forest County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 19.9, 20th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 7K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
High $834K/yr
Landslide
Very Low $2K/yr
Hurricane
Very Low $61K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 37.01 / yr $834K
Landslide Very Low 0.33 / yr $2K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $61K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $259
Riverine Flood Low 0.57 / yr $4M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $19K
Strong Wind Low 1.86 / yr $117K
Tornado Very Low 0.12 / yr $84K
Cold Wave Very Low 3.84 / yr $89K
Winter Weather Very Low 17.74 / yr $7K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.41 / yr $4K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.47 / yr $3K
Hail Very Low 1.76 / yr $5K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Forest County?

Forest County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 19.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 20th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Forest County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $834K EAL), Landslide (Very Low, $2K EAL), Hurricane (Very Low, $61K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Forest County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Forest County ranks #63 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Forest County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.