Philadelphia County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very High

Composite Risk Score

99.6

National percentile: 100th

Philadelphia County faces very high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.6, 100th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $667M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $667M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 1.6M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Heat Wave
Very High $256M/yr
Cold Wave
Very High $57M/yr
Winter Weather
Very High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Very High 11.07 / yr $256M
Cold Wave Very High 0.79 / yr $57M
Winter Weather Very High 10.54 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Very High 5.82 / yr $266M
Tornado High 0.07 / yr $21M
Earthquake High 0.00 / yr $42M
Strong Wind High 7.04 / yr $4M
Lightning High 35.74 / yr $2M
Hail High 2.51 / yr $2M
Hurricane High 0.09 / yr $12M
Ice Storm High 1.44 / yr $989K
Coastal Flood High 3.69 / yr $3M
Landslide Low 0.06 / yr $7K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Drought Very Low 5.76 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Philadelphia County?

Philadelphia County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very High category and the 100th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Philadelphia County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Very High, $256M EAL), Cold Wave (Very High, $57M EAL), Winter Weather (Very High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Philadelphia County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Philadelphia County ranks #1 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Philadelphia County's $667M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.