Grundy County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

34.3

National percentile: 34th

Grundy County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 34.3, 34th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 13K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Tornado
Medium $2M/yr
Earthquake
Low $338K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 1.21 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 0.29 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $338K
Landslide Low 0.55 / yr $2K
Winter Weather Low 6.79 / yr $50K
Strong Wind Medium 5.57 / yr $379K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $39K
Drought Low 21.45 / yr $97K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $27K
Ice Storm Low 0.75 / yr $24K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.71 / yr $2M
Lightning Low 61.16 / yr $54K
Hail Very Low 3.80 / yr $52K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.21 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grundy County?

Grundy County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 34.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 34th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Grundy County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $338K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Grundy County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Grundy County ranks #70 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grundy County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.