Johnson County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

28.2

National percentile: 28th

Johnson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 28.2, 28th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 18K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $39K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $1M/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $39K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.87 / yr $39K
Cold Wave Low 3.26 / yr $1M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $39K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $51K
Lightning Low 49.39 / yr $137K
Drought Low 21.63 / yr $79K
Riverine Flood Low 0.75 / yr $4M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $147K
Ice Storm Low 0.31 / yr $29K
Strong Wind Low 2.71 / yr $228K
Winter Weather Low 17.43 / yr $19K
Tornado Very Low 0.05 / yr $236K
Hail Very Low 3.48 / yr $29K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Johnson County?

Johnson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 28.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 28th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Johnson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $39K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $39K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Johnson County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Johnson County ranks #75 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Johnson County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.