Smith County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

18.8

National percentile: 19th

Smith County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 18.8, 19th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Very Low $2K/yr
Earthquake
Very Low $392K/yr
Tornado
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Very Low 0.74 / yr $2K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $392K
Tornado Low 0.23 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Low 5.96 / yr $699K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $1M
Drought Low 11.14 / yr $112K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.07 / yr $5M
Winter Weather Low 5.89 / yr $43K
Hail Very Low 3.26 / yr $172K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.95 / yr $144K
Lightning Low 58.38 / yr $126K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $11K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.71 / yr $18K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Smith County?

Smith County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 18.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 19th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Smith County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Very Low, $2K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $392K EAL), Tornado (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Smith County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Smith County ranks #83 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Smith County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.