Union County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

12.9

National percentile: 13th

Union County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 12.9, 13th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $43K/yr
Earthquake
Low $419K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $45K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.92 / yr $43K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $419K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $45K
Strong Wind Low 5.20 / yr $389K
Winter Weather Low 5.32 / yr $42K
Lightning Low 53.96 / yr $134K
Tornado Low 0.07 / yr $628K
Cold Wave Low 0.74 / yr $435K
Ice Storm Low 0.31 / yr $26K
Hail Very Low 2.99 / yr $93K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.61 / yr $3M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.47 / yr $21K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 15.57 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Union County?

Union County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 12.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 13th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Union County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $43K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $419K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $45K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Union County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Union County ranks #88 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Union County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.