Wayne County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

43.0

National percentile: 43th

Wayne County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 43.0, 43th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Low $936K/yr
Tornado
Medium $2M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $936K
Tornado Medium 0.60 / yr $2M
Cold Wave Medium 1.16 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 2.33 / yr $3K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $58K
Riverine Flood Low 1.32 / yr $4M
Strong Wind Low 4.75 / yr $334K
Lightning Low 61.37 / yr $135K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.63 / yr $143K
Ice Storm Low 0.77 / yr $24K
Drought Very Low 16.04 / yr $12K
Winter Weather Very Low 4.53 / yr $7K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $3K
Hail Very Low 3.72 / yr $15K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 43.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 43th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $936K EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Wayne County ranks #63 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.