Wilson County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

80.0

National percentile: 80th

Wilson County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 80.0, 80th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $60M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $60M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 148K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $9M/yr
Winter Weather
High $545K/yr
Earthquake
Low $6M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 1.16 / yr $9M
Winter Weather High 5.63 / yr $545K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $6M
Tornado Medium 0.45 / yr $8M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.61 / yr $31M
Hail Medium 3.40 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Medium 0.68 / yr $629K
Lightning Medium 58.90 / yr $847K
Strong Wind Medium 6.13 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Low 4.53 / yr $906K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $39K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $31K
Drought Low 10.24 / yr $41K
Landslide Very Low 0.39 / yr $427
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wilson County?

Wilson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 80.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 80th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wilson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $9M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $545K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $6M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wilson County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Wilson County ranks #15 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wilson County's $60M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.