Cottle County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

12.5

National percentile: 12th

Cottle County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 12.5, 12th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 1K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
High $2M/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $60K/yr
Hail
Low $218K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought High 119.44 / yr $2M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $60K
Hail Low 5.74 / yr $218K
Strong Wind Low 2.31 / yr $192K
Ice Storm Low 0.40 / yr $19K
Landslide Very Low 0.23 / yr $131
Tornado Very Low 0.55 / yr $112K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.79 / yr $15K
Winter Weather Very Low 6.79 / yr $6K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $5K
Cold Wave Very Low 1.32 / yr $10K
Lightning Very Low 48.35 / yr $8K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.21 / yr $181K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cottle County?

Cottle County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 12.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 12th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cottle County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $60K EAL), Hail (Low, $218K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cottle County compare to other Texas counties?

Cottle County ranks #208 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cottle County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.