Harris County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very High

Composite Risk Score

99.9

National percentile: 100th

Harris County faces very high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.9, 100th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2.22B.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $2.22B Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 4.73M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Very High $458M/yr
Riverine Flood
Very High $1.12B/yr
Tornado
Very High $407M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very High 0.18 / yr $458M
Riverine Flood Very High 5.14 / yr $1.12B
Tornado Very High 1.61 / yr $407M
Cold Wave Very High 0.48 / yr $118M
Lightning Very High 74.62 / yr $9M
Heat Wave Very High 14.86 / yr $80M
Ice Storm Very High 0.91 / yr $4M
Strong Wind Very High 1.52 / yr $8M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $6M
Hail Medium 2.35 / yr $2M
Winter Weather High 1.12 / yr $296K
Landslide Medium 0.24 / yr $37K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $562K
Coastal Flood High 3.76 / yr $3M
Drought Medium 15.94 / yr $550K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Harris County?

Harris County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very High category and the 100th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Harris County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very High, $458M EAL), Riverine Flood (Very High, $1.12B EAL), Tornado (Very High, $407M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Harris County compare to other Texas counties?

Harris County ranks #1 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Harris County's $2.22B EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.