Jeff Davis County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

2.9

National percentile: 3th

Jeff Davis County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 2.9, 3th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $2M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 2K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Low $844K/yr
Landslide
Very Low $506/yr
Avalanche
Very Low $198/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $844K
Landslide Very Low 0.70 / yr $506
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $198
Ice Storm Low 0.32 / yr $28K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $25K
Drought Very Low 115.56 / yr $3K
Heat Wave Very Low 7.12 / yr $48K
Winter Weather Very Low 5.25 / yr $12K
Hail Very Low 0.89 / yr $35K
Lightning Very Low 58.39 / yr $28K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $1K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.75 / yr $833K
Tornado Very Low 0.21 / yr $23K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.50 / yr $21K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.25 / yr $19K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Jeff Davis County?

Jeff Davis County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 2.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 3th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Jeff Davis County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $844K EAL), Landslide (Very Low, $506 EAL), Avalanche (Very Low, $198 EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Jeff Davis County compare to other Texas counties?

Jeff Davis County ranks #242 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Jeff Davis County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.